One of my guilty pleasures is reading dater blogs, which essentially chronicle someone's dating life. It's amazing how folks will reveal so many intimate details (usually anonymously) during their search for love or sex. Reading their story can be very entertaining, in that Mexican soap opera kind of way.
A few buddies and I have a somewhat regular contest where we establish odds and bet on who a blogger will shag next--or more properly stated,
who they admit to shagging next, or lie about shagging next, since we don't actually know these people.
We rotate who plays the bookmaker and sets the line, and everyone else bets. We've developed a few other rules and conventions out of necessity to resolve ambiguous results and such, but I wont get into that right now. The important thing is setting up the line for the bookmaker and making your selection as the bettor. If nothing else, this exercise has made me think more about how to set up a balanced morning line.
One single girl's blog,
Downtown-Chic, offers a particularly illustrative example right now, and since a couple of my usual betting partners are on vacation or otherwise unavailable to play, I'll establish the line for you. Remember, you're betting on who the blogger will sleep with next.
Currently, I've established the line for Downtown and her suitors in a
Google spreadsheet. Feel free to copy it and use it for actual horse races if you like, or just review the simple formulas. In this instance we assume there is no
takeout, but the spread sheet can accommodate one.
Lastly, before you berate me for regarding these folks as a wagering opportunity, do read our
damsel discussing pedigree analysis of dating prospects. Like her, I wish there was more data, too. If only her and her suitors were on
Pedigree Query.
Note, the windows close with Downtown's next post.
The Entries3-1
The Houseguest9/2
Dane Cook10-1
Wall Street50-1
The Producer6/5 The Field (all other men)
Handicapping the Damsel and her SuitorsJust like when handicapping a horse race, you should consider the past performances, the conditions, and all other relevant data. What kind of man does this blogger like? Does she put out on the first date? What are the men like? If the blogger requires priming with flowers or flirting for days or weeks, who has a head start in that department? Clearly, there is much to consider.
A Closer Look3-1 The Houseguest
He's navigated these waters before, already has a date scheduled, and keeps the compliments coming. On the downside, Downtown is not as insecure as when she was dating The Producer, so the compliments she desperately craved then may not be as potent. He is also trouble prone out of the gate. Could be a threat if he brings his "A" game. Mixed feelings.
9/2 Dane Cook
Second time starter with limited data. Downtown seems genuinely interested, as evidenced by the "shameless flirting," and hoss did overcome some adversity in the lane when initially denied a kiss. Could be the value play with his prep behind him.
10-1 Wall Street
Sure, he's the class of the field. These are the ones you always want to hammer at the windows, then can't figure out what went wrong. Keep in mind, Wall Street hasn't even phoned yet, and there are two others that already have dates lined up. Dicey.
50-1 The Producer
Oldtimer has plenty of backclass, has bedded this lass repeatedly, and is known for being good in the sack, yet he is badly off form. This one may not be long for the boudoir and simply can't be taken seriously in this spot. Pass.
6/5 The Field (all other men)
Downtown is not adverse to the one night stand, is fond of the bottle, and there are no shortage of lads wanting to take her home from the pub. Still, it would take just the right lad and Downtown in just the right mood for an as yet unknown quantity to pull off the one night stand with this filly. But, there are no world beaters among the rest of the entries, and can see the right suitor laying some groundwork one night this week, then sweeping 5 wide to get his picture taken a few days later, even if all these fella's have first crack. The pick.