The Jamey Thomas trained Purpley is entered in the 5th race tonight at Bay Meadows. The barn, and everyone on the backstretch, were high on this horse for his debut, as she was bet down to 9/2. The filly was even 8/5 with a few minutes to post, then drifted up. She finished an uninspired 6th in the race and never threatened. This is one of my favorite angles: The Jamey Thomas beaten favorite (or short priced horse, in this case) coming back at long odds. She is 15-1 on the morning line and I would take anything better than 8-1.
Also, I've seen this horse and she is enormous. If she can pick up her feet just a little bit she should be able to handle this bunch. Of course the breeding is suspect, but as an individual she is impressive. She's a bit of a head case, though, so keep an eye on her in the paddock. If she didn't handle the van ride over or has race day jitters, hold back. If she looks good, though, I'm going to get down at what I hope to be a very good price. Since it seems everyone else on the backstretch bet her but me last time, I feel like I got away with one and have money to burn.
4 comments:
she ran pretty good to hold on to 2nd but as you say there wasnt very much she had to beat. i saved my money since the odds were lower than you predicted. good luck next time.
Jamey was unhappy with the ride. The jock checked her unnecessarily two or three times, and that Purpley should have won.
whats new in the world of movement? time frame on her return to racing?
She's coming back from the ranch this week. then it's wait and see. it depends how much conditioning she's lost, but she could start in as early as 6 weeks, or by Stockton for sure.
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